GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

1. FC Nürnberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Oberneuland are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 3.75 conceded, while 1. FC Nürnberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and 1. FC Nürnberg hold a 49.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the DFB Pokal, while 1. FC Nürnberg holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

1. FC Nürnberg

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

1. FC Nürnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OberneulandLLWW

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 2.25/3.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
1. FC NürnbergDLWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Oberneuland1. FC Nürnberg
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power64.4
1.68xG2.49
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