Oberachernvs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 8/13/2023, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Oberachern are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the DFB Pokal, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/3.00
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60