GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · 8/16/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oberachern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Oberachern are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Mutschelbach are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Oberachern hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg, while Oberachern holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oberachern

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Oberachern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OberachernLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
MutschelbachLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
OberachernMutschelbach
51.0Attack65.7
39.2Defence18.6
41.2Form40.2
44.8Power41.8
2.75xG2.23
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