Oakleigh Cannonsvs
Sydney Olympic
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/16/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oakleigh Cannons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oakleigh Cannons 4-2 Sydney Olympic
Original prediction
Oakleigh Cannons
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.7% | 45.6% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.96 | 18.4% | 25.8% | 7.4 pts |
| Away | 6.14 | 14.9% | 28.6% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Oakleigh Cannons
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Oakleigh Cannons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60