Victoria NPLVictoria NPL
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Oakleigh Cannons

Oakleigh Cannons

Home
D
12
Full time
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

Away
L
Jack Edwards Reserve
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

South Melbourne36%
Oakleigh Cannons36%
Draw28%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Oakleigh Cannons
36%
Draw
28%
South Melbourne
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Oakleigh Cannons
34
South Melbourne
34
Defence
Oakleigh Cannons
66
South Melbourne
27
Momentum
Oakleigh Cannons
33
South Melbourne
0
Danger (xG)
Oakleigh Cannons
0.90
South Melbourne
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Oakleigh Cannons)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (South Melbourne)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Oakleigh Cannons)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (South Melbourne)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons
DWD
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
LWD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Oakleigh Cannons36%
Draw28%
South Melbourne36%

South Melbourne leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Oakleigh Cannons head into this in Victoria NPL fixture at Jack Edwards Reserve in mixed form (D), while South Melbourne arrive in mixed form (L). Oakleigh Cannons have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for South Melbourne over 1 games.

The model rates Oakleigh Cannons's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 South Melbourne defence, and South Melbourne's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Oakleigh Cannons backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Oakleigh Cannons have limited home data in the engine at this stage. South Melbourne have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Oakleigh Cannons and South Melbourne in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Oakleigh Cannons to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Oakleigh Cannons 3560%, Draw 2846%, South Melbourne 3594%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Oakleigh Cannons

Oakleigh Cannons

D
@ Sunshine Georgies
4 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Heidelberg United
26 Jun 2026
10
D
@ Dandenong City
15 May 2026
11
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

L
vs Green Gully
28 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Bula
12 May 2026
42
D
@ Moreton City Excelsior
14 Nov 2025
33

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts Oakleigh Cannons to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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