GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/8/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oakleigh Cannons · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Oakleigh Cannons are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dandenong Thunder are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakleigh Cannons hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 28.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.6% in the Victoria NPL, while Oakleigh Cannons holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oakleigh Cannons

Probability

89.6%

Model confidence

89.6%

Oakleigh Cannons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakleigh CannonsWWWWD

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong ThunderLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Oakleigh CannonsDandenong Thunder
68.1Attack33.3
70.8Defence26.1
70.8Form21.7
69.9Power28.5
3.71xG0.48
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