Oakland Rootsvs
Orange County SC
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Oakland Roots are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Orange County SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
14.0%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80