Oakland Rootsvs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oakland Roots · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oakland Roots 1-1 Orange County SC
Original prediction
Oakland Roots
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.3% | 39.1% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 25.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.9% | 35.8% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Oakland Roots
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Oakland Roots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40