GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Oakland Roots are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Orange County SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orange County SC

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

14.0%

Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Orange County SCLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Oakland RootsOrange County SC
41.7Attack50.9
51.7Defence61.4
36.7Form59.6
45.9Power59.6
0.99xG1.41
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