Oakland Rootsvs
New Mexico United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Oakland Roots are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New Mexico United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
13.8%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40