GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Oakland Roots are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New Mexico United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

13.8%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsWWDDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New Mexico UnitedLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Oakland RootsNew Mexico United
41.7Attack52.1
51.7Defence64.6
36.7Form62.5
45.9Power61.2
0.90xG1.45
View match centre →