GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oakland Roots · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oakland Roots are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Las Vegas Lights hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the USL Championship, while Oakland Roots holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oakland Roots

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

Oakland Roots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsDDLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Las Vegas LightsDLWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Oakland RootsLas Vegas Lights
41.7Attack45.6
51.7Defence52.6
36.7Form45.6
45.9Power50.6
1.25xG1.23
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