GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 5/11/2024, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCSA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while UCSA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCSA

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaDWLDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UCSAWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Nyva VinnytsyaUCSA
55.6Attack79.5
44.4Defence83.3
44.4Form76.9
51.1Power77.5
0.85xG2.44
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