GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/17/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaLWDDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TrostianetsWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nyva VinnytsyaTrostianets
55.6Attack33.3
44.4Defence83.3
44.4Form50.0
51.1Power56.2
1.49xG1.34
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