GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/21/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Pharm are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real PharmLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nyva VinnytsyaReal Pharm
55.6Attack22.2
44.4Defence34.6
44.4Form21.0
51.1Power28.7
2.33xG0.73
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