GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/5/2024, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivLLLLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Nyva VinnytsyaMetalist 1925 II Kharkiv
55.6Attack42.6
44.4Defence27.8
44.4Form33.3
51.1Power36.9
2.50xG1.17
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