GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/30/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaDLWDD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nyva VinnytsyaLokomotiv Kyiv
55.6Attack44.9
44.4Defence44.9
44.4Form38.5
51.1Power43.7
1.88xG1.25
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