GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/13/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Karpaty II are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaWDDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IIWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.75/1.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Nyva VinnytsyaKarpaty II
55.6Attack46.7
44.4Defence48.0
44.4Form48.0
51.1Power48.6
1.74xG1.32
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