GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/12/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Druzhba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DruzhbaLWDWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Nyva VinnytsyaDruzhba
55.6Attack74.7
44.4Defence81.3
44.4Form78.7
51.1Power76.4
0.85xG2.29
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