Nyva VinnytsyavsChernihiv

Nyva Vinnytsya are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chernihiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.