GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/11/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nyva Vinnytsya are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chayka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva VinnytsyaWWDLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ChaykaWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nyva VinnytsyaChayka
55.6Attack60.3
44.4Defence76.9
44.4Form65.4
51.1Power66.8
0.87xG1.80
View match centre →