GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Ternopil · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Nyva Ternopil 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka II, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Prediction record

Final result

Nyva Ternopil 3-1 Kolos Kovalivka II

Original prediction

Nyva Ternopil

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7252.3%45.9%-6.5 pts
Draw3.3526.9%30.3%3.5 pts
Away4.3320.8%23.8%3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.5 pts

Projected Score

Nyva Ternopil 0–0 Kolos Kovalivka II

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Nyva Ternopil

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Nyva Ternopil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva TernopilDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kolos Kovalivka IILWWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nyva TernopilKolos Kovalivka II
29.6Attack33.3
70.4Defence46.7
37.0Form36.7
47.9Power40.3
1.08xG0.56
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