Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nyköping 1-3 Rågsved
Original prediction
Nyköping
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.5% | 57.5% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 20.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.8% | 22.0% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NyköpingDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RågsvedLLWDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NyköpingRågsved
55.6Attack61.1
66.7Defence44.4
61.1Form48.1
61.1Power52.6
2.09xG1.11