Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nyköping are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rågsved are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyköping hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Nyköping holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
11.4%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60