Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Nyköping are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Haninge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyköping hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Nyköping holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
9.6%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20