Nyköpingvs
Eker Örebro
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nyköping 3-0 Eker Örebro
Original prediction
Nyköping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 69.0% | 83.6% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.22 | 17.3% | 10.3% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 6.66 | 13.6% | 6.1% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.4–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
83.6%
Model confidence
83.6%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40