Nykobing FCvs
VSK Århus
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nykobing FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nykobing FC 3-1 VSK Århus
Original prediction
Nykobing FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.3% | 43.3% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 28.5% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.3% | 28.2% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Nykobing FC
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Nykobing FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40