Nykobing FCvs
Thisted FC
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nykobing FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (13%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nykobing FC 3-0 Thisted FC
Original prediction
Nykobing FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.4% | 60.5% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.48 | 16.5% | 21.2% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 9.02 | 10.0% | 18.3% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.4–013%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Nykobing FC
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Nykobing FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40