Nykobing FCvs
Middelfart
COMPLETEDDenmark · DBU Pokalen · 9/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nykobing FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nykobing FC 5-5 Middelfart
Original prediction
Nykobing FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.5% | 40.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 25.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.1% | 34.4% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Nykobing FC
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Nykobing FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20