Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 12:42
Nyiregyhaza

Nyiregyhaza

Home
W
03
Full time
Zbrojovka Brno

Zbrojovka Brno

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Zbrojovka Brno33%
Nyiregyhaza33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Zbrojovka Brno
Win probability
Nyiregyhaza
33%
Draw
33%
Zbrojovka Brno
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nyiregyhaza
94
Zbrojovka Brno
73
Defence
Nyiregyhaza
91
Zbrojovka Brno
91
Momentum
Nyiregyhaza
100
Zbrojovka Brno
100
Danger (xG)
Nyiregyhaza
2.70
Zbrojovka Brno
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.29 xG for Nyiregyhaza and 2.01 xG for Zbrojovka Brno — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Zbrojovka Brno holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.30 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Nyiregyhaza's Defensive Stability (91) and Zbrojovka Brno's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Nyiregyhaza)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Zbrojovka Brno)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Nyiregyhaza)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Zbrojovka Brno)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza
WLD
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
WWD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Nyiregyhaza33%
Draw33%
Zbrojovka Brno33%

Zbrojovka Brno leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Zbrojovka Brno Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Nyiregyhaza host Zbrojovka Brno in Friendlies Clubs. Nyiregyhaza have recorded LLWWDW in recent matches while Zbrojovka Brno arrive with a run of WWWLWW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.29 for Nyiregyhaza and 2.01 for Zbrojovka Brno. The gap of 0.73 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Nyiregyhaza 0Draws 01 Zbrojovka Brno
Avg goals: 3.0
30 Jun 2026
Nyiregyhaza
L03
Zbrojovka Brno

Recent form

Nyiregyhaza

Nyiregyhaza

W
@ Universitatea Cluj
3 Jul 2026
30
L
vs Zbrojovka Brno
30 Jun 2026
03
D
vs Kazincbarcikai
15 May 2026
22
Zbrojovka Brno

Zbrojovka Brno

W
vs Podbrezová
17 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Nyiregyhaza
30 Jun 2026
30
D
@ Hanácká
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nyiregyhaza vs Zbrojovka Brno?

GoalVio's model predicts Zbrojovka Brno to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nyiregyhaza vs Zbrojovka Brno?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Nyiregyhaza vs Zbrojovka Brno?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nyiregyhaza vs Zbrojovka Brno?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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