Nyiregyhazavs
Paks
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 8/29/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Paks
Original prediction
Paks
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.8% | 35.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 23.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.5% | 40.8% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Paks
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Paks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NyiregyhazaLWLLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PaksWLDLD
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NyiregyhazaPaks
33.3Attack80.0
40.0Defence20.0
40.0Form46.7
40.7Power49.9
1.72xG2.03