Nyiregyhazavs
Ferencvarosi TC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 9/20/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC
Original prediction
Ferencvarosi TC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.7% | 24.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.0% | 23.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.3% | 51.6% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Ferencvarosi TC
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80