Nyiregyhazavs
Budapest Honved
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Budapest Honved · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nyiregyhaza 0-1 Budapest Honved
Original prediction
Budapest Honved
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.4% | 34.4% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.3% | 23.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.4% | 42.6% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Budapest Honved
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Budapest Honved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40