GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nyasa Big Bullets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Red Lions are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyasa Big Bullets hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

34.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyasa Big BulletsWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Red LionsWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Nyasa Big BulletsRed Lions
38.9Attack28.2
80.6Defence71.8
63.9Form48.7
63.7Power51.6
0.73xG0.35
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