GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/31/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyasa Big Bullets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nyasa Big Bullets are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyasa Big Bullets hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.9% in the Super League, while Nyasa Big Bullets holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyasa Big Bullets

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

26.9%

Nyasa Big Bullets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyasa Big BulletsDDWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nyasa Big BulletsMoyale Barracks
38.9Attack33.3
80.6Defence63.9
63.9Form47.2
63.7Power50.6
0.94xG0.41
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