GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 7/4/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyasa Big Bullets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nyasa Big Bullets are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Creck are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyasa Big Bullets hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.4% in the Super League, while Nyasa Big Bullets holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyasa Big Bullets

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

26.4%

Nyasa Big Bullets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyasa Big BulletsWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CreckLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nyasa Big BulletsCreck
38.9Attack19.4
80.6Defence52.8
63.9Form13.9
63.7Power31.5
1.31xG0.27
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