GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 8/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyasa Big Bullets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nyasa Big Bullets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Chitipa United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyasa Big Bullets hold a 18.2-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring Nyasa Big Bullets with 26.2% confidence, a 18% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyasa Big Bullets

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

26.2%

Nyasa Big Bullets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyasa Big BulletsLDWWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chitipa UnitedWWDWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nyasa Big BulletsChitipa United
38.9Attack25.0
80.6Defence58.3
63.9Form44.4
63.7Power45.5
1.10xG0.30
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