GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

NY Cosmos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

73.8%

Model confidence

73.8%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NY CosmosLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Union OmahaWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NY CosmosUnion Omaha
33.3Attack56.7
25.9Defence63.3
20.4Form68.3
29.9Power64.7
0.71xG2.57
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