NY Cosmosvs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NY Cosmos 3-3 Spokane Velocity
Original prediction
Spokane Velocity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.8% | 22.3% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 21.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.0% | 56.5% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Spokane Velocity
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40