NY Cosmosvs
Sarasota Paradise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NY Cosmos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NY Cosmos 1-2 Sarasota Paradise
Original prediction
NY Cosmos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.7% | 40.2% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 24.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.1% | 34.9% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
NY Cosmos
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
NY Cosmos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00