Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 28 June 202622:00Last updated 14:59
NY Cosmos

NY Cosmos

Home
WL
12
Full time
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Santos Laguna47%
Draw27%
NY Cosmos26%
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Santos Laguna
Win probability
NY Cosmos
26%
Draw
27%
Santos Laguna
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
NY Cosmos
18
Santos Laguna
9
Defence
NY Cosmos
46
Santos Laguna
66
Momentum
NY Cosmos
50
Santos Laguna
0
Danger (xG)
NY Cosmos
0.45
Santos Laguna
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (NY Cosmos)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Santos Laguna)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (NY Cosmos)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Santos Laguna)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NY CosmosNY Cosmos
WLLW
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
LW

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
NY Cosmos26%
Draw27%
Santos Laguna47%

Santos Laguna leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

NY Cosmos head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WL), while Santos Laguna arrive in mixed form (L). NY Cosmos have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Santos Laguna over 1 games.

The model rates NY Cosmos's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Santos Laguna defence, and Santos Laguna's attack at 9/100 against a 46/100 NY Cosmos backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

NY Cosmos have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Santos Laguna have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Santos Laguna have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Santos Laguna to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: NY Cosmos 2620%, Draw 2660%, Santos Laguna 4720%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

NY Cosmos 0Draws 01 Santos Laguna
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
NY Cosmos
L12
Santos Laguna

Recent form

NY Cosmos

NY Cosmos

W
vs Naples
9 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Greenville Triumph
5 Jul 2026
03
L
vs Santos Laguna
28 Jun 2026
12
W
@ Westchester SC
16 May 2026
32
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

L
vs America de Cali
10 Jul 2026
01
W
@ NY Cosmos
28 Jun 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win NY Cosmos vs Santos Laguna?

GoalVio's model predicts Santos Laguna to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Santos Laguna?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in NY Cosmos vs Santos Laguna?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NY Cosmos vs Santos Laguna?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more