NY Cosmosvs
Richmond Kickers
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NY Cosmos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NY Cosmos 3-2 Richmond Kickers
Original prediction
NY Cosmos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.2% | 45.4% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 22.9% | 27.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 19.9% | 27.3% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
NY Cosmos
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
NY Cosmos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40