NY Cosmosvs
One Knoxville
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NY Cosmos 0-3 One Knoxville
Original prediction
One Knoxville
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.4% | 20.6% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.0% | 20.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 41.6% | 58.6% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40