NY Cosmosvs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
NY Cosmos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.0% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
80.0%
Model confidence
80.0%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40