GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fort Wayne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

NY Cosmos are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fort Wayne hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.2% in the USL League One, while Fort Wayne holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fort Wayne

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

60.2%

Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NY CosmosLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.33/3.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Fort WayneDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
NY CosmosFort Wayne
33.3Attack43.9
25.9Defence61.4
20.4Form47.4
29.9Power51.6
0.78xG1.91
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