NY Cosmosvs
Chattanooga Red Wolves
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NY Cosmos 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Original prediction
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.4% | 28.9% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.9% | 45.2% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20