NY Cosmosvs
Charlotte Independence
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
NY Cosmos are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
81.0%
Model confidence
10.1%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.50/2.25
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40