Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brooklyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
NY Cosmos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Brooklyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brooklyn hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the USL League One Cup, while Brooklyn holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brooklyn
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Brooklyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40