NWS Spiritvs
UNSW
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NWS Spirit · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
NWS Spirit are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while UNSW are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while NWS Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NWS Spirit
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
NWS Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00