GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/18/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

NWS Spirit are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sydney United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NWS SpiritDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney UnitedDWWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NWS SpiritSydney United
41.7Attack48.8
56.0Defence76.2
44.0Form71.4
48.0Power67.3
0.71xG1.26
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