GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/21/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NWS Spirit · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

NWS Spirit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sydney FC U23 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.0 against 46.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the New South Wales NPL, while NWS Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NWS Spirit

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

14.3%

NWS Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NWS SpiritLWLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney FC U23LWDDD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NWS SpiritSydney FC U23
41.7Attack41.7
56.0Defence51.2
44.0Form44.0
48.0Power46.4
1.32xG1.01
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