Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaragoza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Numancia 2-1 Zaragoza
Original prediction
Zaragoza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Zaragoza
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Zaragoza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NumanciaWDWWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZaragozaWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NumanciaZaragoza
33.3Attack57.1
66.7Defence71.4
33.3Form71.4
45.3Power68.2
1.14xG1.74