Numanciavs
CF Talavera
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Numancia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Numancia 0-0 CF Talavera, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Numancia 0-0 CF Talavera
Original prediction
Numancia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 49.0% | 40.0% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.7% | 30.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.2% | 29.7% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Projected Score
Numancia 0–0 CF Talavera
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Numancia
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Numancia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NumanciaDDWDW
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CF TalaveraWWWDD
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NumanciaCF Talavera
33.3Attack50.0
94.4Defence66.7
66.7Form61.1
66.8Power59.5
0.96xG0.86