Nueva Chicagovs
Tristan Suarez
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 2/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nueva Chicago are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40